First-off--Woo-hoo!! Turns-out that Nate Silver was pretty damned close with his final projection.
Well earned congratulations aside, now comes the hard part-- the country is a mess, and there is a lot to fix. You guys aren't reverential enough to hand over your critical thinking skills with your vote, so what are your lingering concerns about Obama's impending presidency?
I'll list a few of mine in the comments.
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
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A list of a few thing I am unsure about:
*Withdrawal from Iraq: How do we do this quickly without completely screwing the region even more?
*Obama's Tax Plan: As I understand it, his tax plan entails increased taxes on businesses with profits exceeding about $250,000; is it a good idea to increase taxes on businesses during this recession?
*Obama's tough talk about Osama bin Laden and Afghanistan: If he was really serious about this (not just saber-rattling to appease hawkish democrats and centrists), what kind of commitment is he prepared to make and at what cost?
He's going to pull a Nixon.
Yes, he talked about pulling troops out of Iraq, but if they're still there in 4 years he'll be more likely to be re-elected.
"Peace with honor."
How so, won't he piss off a good part of his base by remaining there in any sizable way? How would a continuation of our strong troop involvement in Iraq help him win the next election?
If you mean it is likely he can't get out that quickly without screwing things up, and not screwing up would help him, I agree.
As far as the recession is concerned, the distribution of a tax cut is not all that important. Obama's tax plan is a net tax cut, and that's mainly what matters.
Businesses making over $250k will be unhappy but the aggregate effect will be positive.
The rest of that is too tough to deal with while at work.
I've gotta add: Silver's main gig, Baseball Prospectus, predicted a breakout year for the Tampa Bay Rays that everyone mocked in the preseason. Between that and this map, that's pretty awesome statistical awesomeness.
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